Amazon stock: Here’s how bad one analyst thinks it could get

The slide in Amazon stock may be just getting going as concerns mount on the outlook for the tech giant’s costs and top line growth potential, one veteran tech analyst warns.

“We believe that Amazon has the most downside in our mega-cap coverage given its exposure to inflationary cost headwinds and a potential impact from slowing consumption,” Jefferies tech analyst Brent Thill wore in a note to clients. “We show that a bear case scenario of $60B in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) at a 9 times trough multiple would yield a $51 dollar stock, or ~45% downside from current levels.”

Thill, who reiterated an Overweight (Buy equivalent) longterm rating on Amazon, citing its leading e-commerce position, added that “investors need to gain confidence that operating income estimates have bottomed before shares can begin to inflect.”

The news flow around Amazon has been on the bearish side in recent months.

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