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For many years, the manner in which our country elects its leaders has been a very favorable setup for Republicans. Not only did they win the 2000 and 2016 presidential elections despite getting fewer votes, but they also held the House in 1996 and 2012 despite getting fewer votes. Republicans have regularly won more House seats than their popular vote share would suggest — in large part thanks to their superior control of redistricting.
The 2022 election, though, looks like it will buck that trend.
Republicans appear primed to win the narrowest of House majorities — around 220-215 or 219-216 — despite winning a majority of the votes nationwide and edging Democrats by around 4 percentage points.
If they do ultimately win by around four points, it would mean Republicans improved on their margin from the 2020 election by around seven points, but they were only able to add about 2 percent of seats, as the Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman notes.
This article was written by Aaron Blake and originally published on www.washingtonpost.com